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PRA > SEC Filings for PRA > Form 10-Q on 3-Nov-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for PROASSURANCE CORP


3-Nov-2009

Quarterly Report


ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with the unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes to those statements which accompany this report as well as our Annual Report on Form 10K for the year ended December 31, 2008, which includes a glossary of insurance terms and phrases. Throughout the discussion, references to ProAssurance, "PRA," "we," "us" and "our" refers to ProAssurance Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries. The discussion contains certain forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties. As discussed under "Forward-Looking Statements," our actual financial condition and operating results could differ significantly from these forward-looking statements. Critical Accounting Estimates
Our Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements are prepared in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Preparation of these financial statements requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts we report on those statements. We evaluate these estimates and assumptions on an ongoing basis based on current and historical developments, market conditions, industry trends and other information that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. There can be no assurance that actual results will conform to our estimates and assumptions; reported results of operations may be materially affected by changes in these estimates and assumptions.
Management considers the following accounting estimates to be critical because they involve significant judgment by management and the effect of those judgments could result in a material effect on our financial statements. Reserve for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses (reserve for losses or reserve) The largest component of our liabilities is our reserve for losses and the largest component of expense for our operations is incurred losses. Net losses in any period reflect our estimate of net losses incurred related to the premiums earned in that period as well as any changes to our estimates of the reserve established for net losses of prior periods.
The estimation of professional liability losses is inherently difficult. Ultimate loss costs, even for claims with similar characteristics, vary significantly depending upon many factors, including but not limited to, the nature of the claim and the personal situation of the claimant or the claimant's family, the outcome of jury trials, the legislative and judicial climate where the insured event occurred, general economic conditions and, for medical professional liability, the trend of health care costs. Professional liability claims are typically resolved over an extended period of time, often five years or more. The combination of changing conditions and the extended time required for claim resolution results in a loss cost estimation process that requires actuarial skill and the application of judgment, and such estimates require periodic revision.
In establishing our reserve for losses, management considers a variety of factors including claims frequency, historical paid and incurred loss development trends, the effect of inflation, general economic trends and the legal and political environment. We perform an in-depth review of our reserve for losses on a semi-annual basis. Additionally, during each reporting period we update and review the data underlying the estimation of our reserve for losses and make adjustments that we believe best reflect emerging data. Any adjustments are reflected in the then-current operations. Due to the size of our reserve for losses, even a small percentage adjustment to these estimates could have a material effect on our results of operations for the period in which the adjustment is made.
Reinsurance
We use insurance and reinsurance (collectively, "reinsurance") to provide capacity to write larger limits of liability, to provide protection against losses in excess of policy limits, and to stabilize underwriting results in years in which higher losses occur. The purchase of reinsurance does not relieve us from the ultimate risk on our policies, but it does provide reimbursement for certain losses we pay.


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We evaluate each of our ceded reinsurance contracts at inception to determine if there is sufficient risk transfer to allow the contract to be accounted for as reinsurance under current accounting guidance. At September 30, 2009 all ceded contracts are accounted for as risk transferring contracts.
Our receivable from reinsurers on unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses represents our estimate of the amount of our reserve for losses that will be recoverable under our reinsurance programs. We base our estimate of funds recoverable upon our expectation of ultimate losses and the portion of those losses that we estimate to be allocable to reinsurers based upon the terms of our reinsurance agreements. Our assessment of the collectability of the recorded amounts receivable from reinsurers considers the payment history of the reinsurer, publicly available financial and rating agency data, our interpretation of the underlying contracts and policies, and responses by reinsurers. Appropriate reserves are established for any balances we believe may not be collected.
Given the uncertainty of the ultimate amounts of our losses, our estimates of losses and related amounts recoverable may vary significantly from the eventual outcome. Also, we estimate premiums ceded under reinsurance agreements wherein the premium due to the reinsurer, subject to certain maximums and minimums, is based in part on losses reimbursed or to be reimbursed under the agreement. Any adjustments are reflected in then-current operations. Due to the size of our reinsurance balances, an adjustment to these estimates could have a material effect on our results of operations for the period in which the adjustment is made.
Investment Valuations
Virtually all of our financial assets are comprised of investments recorded at fair value. Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Assets and liabilities valued at fair value are classified as Level 1, 2, or 3 based on how transparent (observable) the inputs are that are used to determine the fair value with Level 1 being the most observable and Level 3 the least or not observable.
Of the Company's investments recorded at fair value totaling $3.7 billion, approximately 99% of our investments are based on observable market prices or observable market parameters (i.e. broker quotes, benchmark yield curves, issuer spreads, bids, etc.). The availability of observable market prices and pricing parameters (referred to as observable inputs) can vary from investment to investment. We utilize observable inputs, when such inputs are available and relate to normal active markets. In many cases, we obtain multiple observable inputs for an investment to derive the fair value without requiring significant judgments.
We use a pricing service, Interactive Data Corporation (IDC), to value our investments that have an exchange traded price or multiple observable inputs related to comparable securities. Because most fixed income securities do not trade daily, values provided by IDC are generally based on evaluated pricing models. Such models vary by asset class and utilize data based on trade, bid and other market information as well as cash flow and available loan performance data for securities considered comparable to the security being valued. IDC has indicated that trade and bid data are included in its valuation models only after it has been scrutinized for consistency with other market information obtained or developed by IDC. We do not utilize IDC to price investments that do not have multiple observable inputs (Level 3). IDC discloses the inputs used for each asset class that it prices. We review the inputs for the asset classes we own in order to make the appropriate level designation.
All securities priced by IDC using an exchange traded price are designated by us as Level 1. Level 1 investments are currently limited to exchange traded common and preferred equity securities, and money market funds with quoted Net Asset Values (NAVs).
We designate as Level 2 those securities not actively traded on an exchange for which IDC uses multiple verifiable observable inputs including last reported trade, non-binding broker quotes, benchmark yield curves, issuer spreads, two sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers, and assumed prepayment speeds.
IDC provides a single price per instrument quoted. We review the pricing for reasonableness each quarter by comparing market yields generated by the supplied price versus market yields observed


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in the market place. If a supplied price is deemed unreasonable, we will challenge the price with IDC and make adjustments if deemed necessary. To date, we have not adjusted any prices supplied by IDC.
For securities that do not have multiple observable inputs (Level 3), we do not rely on a price from IDC. Our Level 3 assets are primarily non-publicly traded investments which are valued by management either using non-binding broker quotes or pricing models that utilize market based assumptions which have limited observable inputs including treasury yield levels, issuer spreads and non-binding broker quotes. The valuation techniques involve some degree of judgment. Approximately $46.0 million of our investments (1% of investments recorded at fair value) are valued in this manner.
Most of our investments recorded at fair value are considered available-for-sale although the majority of our equity securities are classified as trading. For investments considered available-for-sale, changes in the fair value are recognized as unrealized gains and losses and are included, net of related tax effects, in stockholders' equity as a component of other comprehensive income (loss). Gains or losses on these investments are recognized in earnings in the period the investment is sold or when an other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) is deemed to have occurred. Changes in the fair value of investments considered as trading are recorded in realized investment gains and losses in the current period.
We also have other investments, primarily comprised of equity interests in private investment funds (non-public investment partnerships and limited liability companies), $47.4 million of which are accounted for using the equity method and $31.1 million of which are carried at cost. We evaluate these investments for OTTI by considering any declines in fair value below the recorded value. Determining whether there has been a decline in fair value involves assumptions and estimates as there are typically no observable inputs to determine the fair value of these investments.
We evaluate all our investments on at least a quarterly basis for declines in fair value that represent OTTI. Some of the factors we consider in the evaluation of our investments are:
• the extent to which the fair value of an investment is less than its recorded basis;

• the length of time for which the fair value of the investment has been less than its recorded basis;

• the financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer underlying the investment, taking into consideration the economic prospects of the issuer's industry and geographical region, to the extent that information is publicly available;

• third party research and credit rating reports;

• the extent to which the decline in fair value is attributable to credit risk specifically associated with an investment or its issuer;

• the extent to which we believe market assessments of credit risk for a specific investment or category of investments are either well founded or are speculative;

• our internal assessments and those of our external portfolio managers regarding specific circumstances surrounding an investment, which can cause us to believe the investment is more or less likely to recover its value than other investments with a similar structure;

• for asset-backed securities: the origination date of the underlying loans, the remaining average life, the probability that credit performance of the underlying loans will deteriorate in the future, and our assessment of the quality of the collateral underlying the loan;

• for equity securities, our ability and intent to hold the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for any anticipated recovery in fair value;

• for debt securities, our intent to sell the security and whether or not we are more likely than not to be required to sell the security before recovery of its amortized cost basis;

• the historical and implied volatility of the fair value of the security;

• the payment structure of the debt security (for example, nontraditional loan terms) and the likelihood of the issuer being able to make payments that increase in the future;

• failure of the issuer of the security to make scheduled interest or principal payments;


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• any changes to the rating of the security by a rating agency;

• recoveries or additional declines in fair value subsequent to the balance sheet date.

Determining whether a decline in the fair value of investments is an OTTI may also involve a variety of assumptions and estimates, particularly for investments that are not actively traded in established markets or during periods of market dislocation. For example, assessing the value of certain investments requires us to perform an analysis of expected future cash flows or prepayments. For investments in tranches of structured transactions, we are required to assess the credit worthiness of the underlying investments of the structured transaction.
When we judge a decline in fair value of debt securities to be other-than-temporary, we recognize in earnings the portion of the impairment loss that is due to credit loss (the excess of the current amortized cost basis of the security and the present value of expected future cash flows). We recognize the portion that is due to non-credit factors in other comprehensive income, provided that we have no intent to sell the security and it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell the security prior to recovery of its amortized cost basis. In subsequent periods, we base any measurement of gain or loss or impairment on the revised amortized basis of the security. Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
Policy acquisition costs, primarily commissions, premium taxes and underwriting salaries, which are directly related to the acquisition of new and renewal premiums, are capitalized as deferred policy acquisition costs and charged to expense as the related premium revenue is recognized. We evaluate the recoverability of our deferred policy acquisition costs each reporting period and any amounts estimated to be unrecoverable are charged to expense in the current period.
Deferred Taxes
Deferred federal income taxes arise from the recognition of temporary differences between the basis of assets and liabilities determined for financial reporting purposes and the basis determined for income tax purposes. Our temporary differences principally relate to loss reserves, unearned premiums, deferred policy acquisition costs, unrealized investment gains (losses) and investment impairments. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using the enacted tax rates expected to be in effect when such benefits are realized. We review our deferred tax assets quarterly for impairment. If we determine that it is more likely than not that some or all of a deferred tax asset will not be realized, a valuation allowance is recorded to reduce the carrying value of the asset. In assessing the need for a valuation allowance, management is required to make certain judgments and assumptions about our future operations based on historical experience and information as of the measurement period regarding reversal of existing temporary differences, carryback capacity, future taxable income, including its capital and operating characteristics, and tax planning strategies.
Goodwill
We make at least an annual assessment as to whether the value of our goodwill assets is impaired. Management evaluates the carrying value of goodwill annually during the fourth quarter and before the annual evaluation if events occur or circumstances change that would more likely than not reduce the fair value below the carrying value. In assessing goodwill, management estimates the fair value of each reporting unit and compares that estimate to the carrying value of the reporting unit. We did not record any impairment of goodwill as of our last evaluation date, October 1, 2008, and do not believe there has been any change of events or circumstances that would indicate that a re-evaluation of goodwill is required as of September 30, 2009.


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Accounting Changes Adopted
FASB Accounting Standards Codification
On July 1, 2009, the FASB published the FASB Accounting Standards Codification (the Codification) as the single source of authoritative nongovernmental GAAP, effective for interim and annual periods ending after September 15, 2009. The Codification is not intended to change current GAAP, but rather to provide all the authoritative literature related to a particular topic in one place. Upon the effective date, all pre-existing accounting standard documents were superseded and accounting literature not included in the Codification became non-authoritative. We have adopted use of the Codification as of the quarter ending September 30, 2009; adoption had no effect on our results of operations or financial position. Subsequent Events
Effective for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, ending on or after June 15, 2009, GAAP guidance was revised to more clearly set forth the period after the balance sheet date during which management should evaluate events or transactions for potential recognition or disclosure in the financial statements, the circumstances under which events or transactions after the balance sheet date should be recognized and the disclosures that should be made regarding such events. We adopted the revised guidance as of the quarter ended June 30, 2009; adoption had no effect on our results of operations or financial position.
Fair Value
Effective for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, ending on or after June 15, 2009, the FASB revised existing GAAP guidance regarding the valuation of assets or liabilities when the volume and level of market transactions for those assets or liabilities has significantly decreased. The revised guidance clarifies factors to be considered in determining whether there has been a significant decrease in market activity for an asset in relation to normal activity and provides additional guidance on when the use of multiple (or different) valuation techniques may be warranted and considerations for determining the weight that should be applied to the various techniques. The revisions also establish a requirement that conclusions about whether transactions are orderly be based on the weight of the evidence and require entities to disclose any changes to valuation techniques (and related inputs) that result from a conclusion that markets are not orderly and the effect of the change, if practicable. We adopted the revised guidance as of the quarter ended June 30, 2009; adoption had no significant effect on our results of operations or financial position.
Effective for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, ending on or after June 15, 2009, the FASB has revised previously existing guidance to require publicly traded companies to provide disclosures about fair values of financial instruments for interim reporting periods as well as in annual financial statements and in any summarized financial information issued at interim reporting periods. We adopted the revised guidance as of the quarter ended June 30, 2009; adoption had no effect on our results of operations or financial position.
Investments-Disclosure Requirements; Other-than-temporary Impairments Effective for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, ending on or after June 15, 2009, the FASB altered previously existing GAAP guidance for investments in debt and equity securities. The new guidance specifies that disclosures for debt and equity securities should be provided for interim as well as annual periods. GAAP guidance related to other-than-temporary impairments was also altered. Previous investment guidance required that an impairment of a debt security be considered as other-than-temporary unless management could assert both the intent and the ability to hold the impaired security until recovery of value. The revised impairment guidance specifies that an impairment be considered as other-than-temporary unless an entity can assert that it has no intent to sell the security and that it is not more likely than not that the entity will be required to sell the security before recovery of its anticipated amortized cost basis. The new guidance also establishes the concept of credit loss. Credit loss is defined as the difference between the present value of the cash flows expected to be collected from a debt security and the amortized cost basis of the security. The new guidance states that "in instances in which a determination is made that a credit loss exists but the entity does not intend to sell the debt security and it is not more likely than not that the entity will be required to sell the debt security


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before the anticipated recovery of its remaining amortized cost basis" an impairment is to be separated into (a) the amount of the total impairment related to the credit loss and (b) the amount of total impairment related to all other factors. The credit loss component of the impairment is to be recognized in income of the current period. The non-credit component is to be recognized as a part of other comprehensive income. Transition provisions require a cumulative effect adjustment to reclassify the noncredit component of a previously recognized other-than-temporary impairment from retained earnings to accumulated other comprehensive income "if an entity does not intend to sell and it is not more likely than not that the entity will be required to sell the security before recovery of its amortized cost basis". We adopted this guidance as of the beginning of the quarter ended June 30, 2009. As of April 1, 2009, our debt securities included non-credit impairment losses previously recognized in earnings of approximately $5.4 million. In accordance with the transition provisions of the revised guidance, we reclassified these credit losses, net of tax, from retained earnings to accumulated comprehensive income as of April 1, 2009 (a $3.5 million increase to retained earnings; a $3.5 million decrease to accumulated other comprehensive income). Convertible Debentures
Effective January 1, 2009 previous GAAP guidance regarding the accounting for Convertible Debentures has been revised. The revised guidance requires issuers to account for convertible debt securities that allow for either mandatory or optional cash settlement (including partial cash settlement) by separating the liability and equity components in a manner that reflects the issuer's nonconvertible debt borrowing rate at the time of issuance and requires recognition of additional (non-cash) interest expense in subsequent periods based on the nonconvertible rate. Additionally, when such debt instruments are repaid or converted, any consideration transferred at settlement is to be allocated between the extinguishment of the liability component and the reacquisition of the equity component. The revised guidance is applicable to the Convertible Debentures which we converted in July 2008. We adopted the revised guidance as of its effective date January 1, 2009; adoption had no effect on 2009 operating results because no convertible debt has been outstanding during 2009. The cumulative effect of adoption, which would be an increase to additional paid-in capital of $65,000 and an offsetting decrease to retained earnings of the same amount, has not been recorded because the effect is immaterial and would not change total stockholders' equity. Non-controlling Interests in Subsidiaries Effective for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, beginning on or after December 15, 2008, existing GAAP guidance was revised to establish accounting and reporting standards for the noncontrolling interest in a subsidiary and for the deconsolidation of a subsidiary. We adopted this guidance as of its effective date, January 1, 2009. Adoption did not have an effect on our results of operations or financial position. Business Combinations
Existing GAAP guidance related to business combinations has been revised effective prospectively for combinations for which the acquisition date is on or after the beginning of the first annual reporting period beginning on or after December 15, 2008. The revision retains the previous requirement that the acquisition method of accounting be used for all business combinations but provides new and additional guidance including: defining the acquirer in a transaction, the valuation of assets and liabilities when noncontrolling interests exist, the treatment of contingent consideration, the treatment of costs incurred to effect the acquisition, the treatment of reorganization costs, and the valuation of assets and liabilities when the purchase price is below the net fair value of assets acquired. We adopted the new guidance as of its effective date, January 1, 2009 and accounted for our acquisitions of Mid-Continent General Agency, Inc. (Mid-Continent), Georgia Lawyers Insurance Company (Georgia Lawyers) and Podiatry Insurance Company of America (PICA) during the first and second quarters of 2009 in accordance with the revised guidance (see Note 3).


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Accounting Changes Not Yet Adopted
Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities In June 2009, the FASB issued new guidance (effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2009 and interim periods within those fiscal years) which changes how a reporting entity determines whether or not to consolidate its interest in an entity that is insufficiently capitalized or is not controlled through voting (or similar) rights. The determination of whether a reporting entity is required to consolidate another entity will now be based on, among other things, the other entity's purpose and design and the reporting entity's ability to direct the activities of the other entity that most significantly impact the other entity's economic performance. The revised guidance also requires the reporting entity to provide additional disclosures about its involvement with variable interest entities and any significant changes in risk exposure due to that involvement. A reporting entity will be required to disclose how its involvement with a variable interest entity affects the reporting entity's financial statements. Management is currently evaluating the new guidance and has not yet completed its determination of the impact on our results of operations or financial position. Fair Value
In August 2009 the FASB issued updated guidance regarding the valuation of liabilities at fair value; the guidance is effective for the first reporting period that begins after issuance of the guidance. The updated guidance clarifies that when a quoted price in an active market for an identical . . .

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