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AOC > SEC Filings for AOC > Form 10-K on 2-Mar-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-K for AON CORP


2-Mar-2009

Annual Report


Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

This Management's Discussion and Analysis is organized as follows:

I. OVERVIEW
Key Drivers of Financial Performance Executive Summary of 2008 Financial Results
II. KEY RECENT EVENTS
Acquisitions and Divestitures Restructuring Initiatives Stock Repurchase Program
III. CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
Restructuring Pensions Contingencies Intangible Assets Share-based Payments Income Taxes Policy Liabilities
IV. REVIEW OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS
General Summary Results for 2006 through 2008 Consolidated Results for 2008 Compared to 2007 Consolidated Results for 2007 Compared to 2006
V. REVIEW BY SEGMENT
General Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services Consulting Unallocated Income and Expense
VI. FINANCIAL CONDITION AND LIQUIDITY
Liquidity Cash Flows Financial Condition Borrowings Stockholders' Equity Off Balance Sheet Arrangements


OVERVIEW

Key Drivers of Financial Performance

Operations

The key drivers of financial performance vary among our operations.

Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services. Brokerage segment results are principally affected by:

º •
º conditions in insurance markets, particularly fluctuations in premiums charged by insurance companies,

º •
º success in attracting and keeping clients,

º •
º fluctuations in foreign exchange rates,

º •
º interest income on our investments,

º •
º expense management, and

º •
º employee retention.

Consulting. Consulting segment results are principally affected by:

º •
º our clients' employment levels, which are driven mainly by economic conditions,

º •
º governmental regulations affecting the health care market, employee benefit programs and our clients' respective industries,

º •
º success in attracting and keeping clients,

º •
º fluctuations in foreign exchange rates,

º •
º expense management, and

º •
º employee retention.

As more fully discussed below in "Key Recent Events," in November 2008 we completed the merger with Benfield Group Limited ("Benfield"), a leading independent reinsurance intermediary. Combining the Benfield operations with our existing and complementary reinsurance operations will allow Aon to offer clients an integrated set of risk management products and services, including treaty and facultative reinsurance, innovative risk capital management and related advisory services.

Liquidity

Liquidity is derived from cash flows from our businesses, excluding funds held on behalf of clients, and from financing. We use liquidity to:

º •
º fund acquisitions and pension obligations,

º •
º repurchase shares,

º •
º repay debt,

º •
º pay dividends to our stockholders, and

º •
º pay for capital expenditures.

Because we are a holding company, our subsidiaries may not have available cash to pay us dividends. Our access to cash generated from operations outside the U.S. may be affected by tax considerations and by pension funding requirements in our international pension plans.


Executive Summary of 2008 Financial Results

The insurance industry continued to experience a soft market, characterized by reduced premium rates, throughout 2008. In the second half of the year, the disruption in the global credit markets, the repricing of credit risk and the deterioration of the financial markets have created increasingly difficult conditions for financial institutions, including those in the insurance industry. Despite this difficult market environment, we grew the business organically, took further steps to streamline our product portfolio around our core businesses while reducing capital requirements, and improved the financial flexibility of our balance sheet.

Organic growth in 2008 was 2%, with growth in both our Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services (2%) and Consulting (3%) segments. We use supplemental information related to organic revenue growth to help us and our investors evaluate business growth from existing operations. Organic revenue growth excludes the impact of foreign exchange rate changes, acquisitions, divestitures, transfers between business units, investment income, reimbursable expenses and unusual items from reported revenues.

Our consolidated pretax margins from continuing operations declined from 13.7% in 2007 to 11.3% in 2008 driven principally by higher restructuring charges relating to our 2007 restructuring program that we announced in October 2007. We incurred $254 million of restructuring charges in 2008 compared with $85 million in 2007. Restructuring costs in 2007 included $39 million related to our 2005 restructuring program, which has been completed.

The following is a summary of our 2008 financial results:

º •
º Our revenues from continuing operations increased $272 million or 4% overall. More specifically:

º •
º Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services revenue increased $273 million or 5%, and

º •
º Consulting revenue increased $6 million, which was essentially even with last year.

º •
º Operating expenses increased 6% in 2008 due primarily to higher restructuring costs, unfavorable foreign exchange and higher compensation costs, partially offset by the savings related to our restructuring programs.

º •
º Income from continuing operations decreased $41 million in 2008 to $621 million, as higher costs, especially restructuring expenses, more than offset higher revenue and a lower tax rate.

º •
º Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations were $2.06 in 2008, essentially even with 2007's $2.07 per share. The one cent decline was driven by lower net income, mostly offset by lower diluted shares outstanding resulting from our stock repurchase program, and a lower effective tax rate.

º •
º We completed the sale of our Combined Insurance Company of America ("CICA") and Sterling Insurance Company ("Sterling") subsidiaries. We recognized a pretax gain on the sales of approximately $1.4 billion. We received $2,866 million in cash for these operations, after final adjustments. In addition, we received a one-time dividend of $325 million from CICA prior to the close of the transaction. As a result of the gains recognized on these sales, net income in 2008 was $1,462 million, an increase of 69% from $864 million in 2007.

º •
º We utilized the funds received from the sales of CICA and Sterling to increase the volume of share repurchases early in the year. During 2008, we repurchased approximately 42.6 million shares at a cost of $1.9 billion. Share repurchases were halted in August in anticipation of the merger with Benfield.


º •
º Beginning in the third quarter 2007, we began a new global restructuring effort. This restructuring program is estimated to result in cumulative pretax charges totaling approximately $550 million. As a result of this effort, we:

º -
º incurred $251 million in 2008 for workforce reduction and lease consolidation costs, asset impairments and other associated costs, and

º -
º expect these efforts to reduce annual costs from our continuing operations by approximately $370 million by 2010 before any potential reinvestment of savings.

In August 2008, we announced that we had entered into an agreement to merge with Benfield. In November 2008, we completed the transaction, paying Benfield shareholders £3.50 per common share and £2.80 per preferred share ($1,281 million). We also acquired cash and assumed debt in the transaction. A portion of the cash acquired is restricted as to its use for general corporate purposes. We also announced in the fourth quarter a global restructuring plan in conjunction with the merger. The restructuring plan, which will continue through the end of 2011, is intended to integrate and streamline operations across the combined Aon Benfield organization. We estimate that this plan will result in cumulative costs totaling approximately $185 million over a three-year period, and that approximately $104 million of the costs will be included in the purchase price allocation with the remainder being recorded in operations in future periods.

All of our financial information reflects the application of critical accounting policies, estimates, assumptions and judgments, as discussed below under "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates."

These items are discussed further in the remainder of this Management's Discussion and Analysis.

KEY RECENT EVENTS

Acquisitions and Divestitures

In August 2008, we announced that we had entered into an agreement to merge with Benfield, a leading independent reinsurance intermediary. The merger was completed in November 2008. We funded the transaction through cash on hand. We intend to integrate the Benfield business with our existing reinsurance operations (Aon Re Global) and operate the division globally under the newly created Aon Benfield brand. See Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements, "Business Combinations" for further information.

In addition to Benfield, we purchased 30 companies during 2008, primarily related to our Risk and Insurance Brokerage operations, for an aggregate amount of $105 million. Among the other companies purchased, in early 2008 we agreed to buy substantially all of A. J. Gallagher's U.S. and U.K. reinsurance brokerage business for $30 million in cash, plus an additional payment based on revenue produced by the acquired businesses in the first year after the deal closed. This transaction gives us a larger presence as a reinsurance broker for accident, health and life insurance in the U.S., and for accident and specialty casualty and financial institutions insurance in the U.K.

In January 2009, we reached a definitive agreement to sell our FFG Insurance Company ("FFG"), Atlanta International Insurance Company ("AIIC") and Citadel Insurance Company ("Citadel") (together the "P&C operations") to National Indemnity Company. FFG and Citadel were property and casualty insurance operations that were in runoff and had been previously included in unallocated income and expense. Operating results for these units have been reclassified to discontinued operations for all periods presented. AIIC was a unit of Alexander & Alexander Services, Inc. ("A&A") which was placed in run-off in 1985 when A&A discontinued its property and casualty insurance underwriting operations. At the time of our acquisition of A&A in 1997, we placed the operations of AIIC, among other run-off units still operated by A&A, into discontinued operations. The sale is subject to various closing conditions and is expected to be completed in the first half of 2009. We estimate that we will


incur a pretax loss of approximately $191 million on the sale of these operations, which has been recorded in 2008 in discontinued operations.

In October 2008, we reached a definitive agreement to sell AIS Management Corporation ("AIS"), a broker for non-standard personal lines automobile coverage, which was previously included in our Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services segment, to Mercury General Corporation, for approximately $120 million in cash, plus a potential earn-out of up to $35 million, payable over the two years following the completion of the agreement. The sale was completed in early first quarter 2009. AIS's operating results are included in discontinued operations for all periods presented. We expect to record a pretax gain from the sale of AIS in the first quarter 2009 of approximately $85 million.

In December 2007, we announced that we signed definitive agreements to sell our CICA and Sterling subsidiaries. These two subsidiaries were previously included in an Insurance Underwriting segment. Both of these transactions were completed on April 1, 2008. In more detail:

º •
º CICA was sold to ACE Limited for cash consideration of $2,525 million, after final adjustments. We also received a one-time dividend of $325 million from CICA prior to the close of the transaction.

º •
º Sterling was sold to Munich Re Group for cash consideration of $341 million, after final adjustments.

We have included CICA and Sterling's operating results through the date of sale in discontinued operations. We recorded a pretax gain on these sales of approximately $1.4 billion.

Over the last three years, we have sold the following additional businesses that are also included in discontinued operations:

º •
º Aon Warranty Group ("AWG") and its worldwide warranty and credit operations, which were previously included in the Insurance Underwriting segment, and

º •
º Construction Program Group ("CPG"), a managing general underwriter whose policies were underwritten by Aon's property and casualty operation, which was previously included in both the Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services and Insurance Underwriting segments.

Results of the businesses included in discontinued operations are as follows (in millions):

                Years ended December 31,        2008      2007      2006

                Revenues                       $   775   $ 2,614   $ 3,541

                Pretax income (loss):
                     Operations                $    56   $   340   $   308
                     Sale                        1,200       (10 )      46

                          Total                $ 1,256   $   330   $   354

                After-tax income:
                     Operations                $    30   $   199   $   221
                     Sale                          811         3         9

                          Total                $   841   $   202   $   230

In December 2008, we signed a definitive agreement to sell the U.S. operations of our premium finance business (Cananwill) to AFCO Credit Corporation. This sale did not qualify as a discontinued operation because we will have a continuing interest in the operations after the sale, and thus Cananwill's results continue to be included in the Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services segment. This transaction was completed in February 2009. We recorded a preliminary loss on the sale of this business of approximately $5 million in 2008. In connection with Aon's sale of its U.S. premium finance


business, Aon has guaranteed the collection of the principal amount of the premium finance notes sold to the buyer, estimated at closing to be approximately $745 million, if losses exceed the historical credit loss reserve for the business. Historical losses in this business have been very low since the premium finance notes are generally fully collateralized by the lender's right, in the event of non-payment, to cancel the underlying insurance contract and collect the unearned premium from the insurance carrier. In addition, we may receive up to $10 million from the buyer over the next two years based on the amount of insurance premiums and related obligations financed by the buyer over such period that are generated from certain of Cananwill's producers.

We also sold other, smaller operations during 2008. We recognized a pretax gain of $4 million on these dispositions, which is included in our income from continuing operations.

In 2007, we sold the following businesses that remained in our continuing operating results:

º •
º Media Professionals, Inc. and two other, smaller operations, which were included in the Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services segment. We recognized total pretax gains of $32 million on these sales.

º •
º 25% of our Botswana subsidiary, which is included in the Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services segment. A pretax gain of $4 million was recognized on the sale.

See Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements, "Disposal of Operations," for further information.

Restructuring Initiatives

Aon Benfield Restructuring Plan

In fourth quarter 2008, we announced a global restructuring plan ("Aon Benfield Plan") in conjunction with our merger with Benfield. The restructuring plan, which will continue through the end of 2011, is intended to integrate and streamline operations across the combined Aon Benfield organization. The Aon Benfield Plan includes an estimated 500 to 700 job eliminations. Additionally, duplicate space and assets will be abandoned. We estimate that this plan will result in cumulative costs totaling approximately $185 million over a three-year period, and that approximately $104 million of the costs will be included in the purchase price allocation with the remainder being recorded in operations in future periods.

The following is a summary of the restructuring costs related to the Aon Benfield Plan and our estimate of the amounts that will be included in the purchase price allocation and our ongoing operations (in millions):

                                       Purchase      Estimated
                                        Price        Expense in
                                      Allocation     Operations    Total

               Workforce reduction   $         74   $         52   $  126
               Lease consolidation             28             21       49
               Asset impairments                -              8        8
               Other costs                      2              -        2

               Total                 $        104   $         81   $  185

The restructuring plan, before any potential reinvestment of savings, is expected to deliver cumulative cost savings of approximately $33-41 million in 2009, $84-94 million in 2010 and $122 million in 2011. All of the components of the restructuring plan are not finalized and actual savings, total costs and timing may vary from those estimated due to changes in the scope, underlying assumptions of the plan, and to foreign exchange rates.


2007 Restructuring Plan

In 2007, we announced a global restructuring plan intended to create a more streamlined organization and reduce future expense growth to better serve clients ("2007 Plan"). The three-year plan has evolved as new opportunities have been identified and existing initiatives have been finalized. We estimate that the 2007 Plan will result in cumulative pretax charges totaling approximately $550 million. Expenses will include workforce reduction and lease consolidation costs, asset impairments, as well as other expenses necessary to implement the restructuring initiative. We recorded approximately $251 million and $46 million of restructuring and related expenses in 2008 and 2007, respectively, and expect the remaining restructuring and related expenses to affect operations through the end of 2009.

The 2007 Plan includes an estimated 3,900 job eliminations beginning in the third quarter of 2007 and continuing into 2009. Through the end of 2008, 1,400 job eliminations have occurred. We also expect to close or consolidate several offices resulting in sublease losses or lease buy-outs. Costs related to the restructuring are included in compensation and benefits, other general expenses and depreciation and amortization in the accompanying consolidated statements of income.

The following table summarizes the 2007 restructuring and related expenses by type incurred and estimated to be incurred through the end of the restructuring initiative (in millions):

                                                         Actual

                                                                Incurred     Estimated
                                                2007    2008     to Date     Total (1)

    Workforce reduction                         $  17   $ 166   $     183   $       330
    Lease consolidation                            22      38          60           134
    Asset impairments                               4      18          22            45
    Other costs associated with restructuring       3      29          32            41

    Total restructuring and related expenses    $  46   $ 251   $     297   $       550

º (1)
º Actual costs, when incurred, will vary due to changes in the assumptions built into this plan. Significant assumptions likely to change when plans are finalized and approved include, but are not limited to, changes in severance calculations, changes in the assumptions underlying sublease loss calculations due to changing market conditions, and changes in the overall analysis that might cause the Company to add or cancel component initiatives.

Workforce reductions reflect a cash expense, though we may recognize the expense before paying for the expenditure. Asset impairments are non-cash expenses. Lease consolidation accruals reflect the present value of future cash flows. Other costs are cash expenses, which are expensed in the period in which they are incurred.

The following table summarizes actual restructuring and related expenses incurred and estimated to be incurred through the end of the restructuring initiative, by segment (in millions):

                                                        Actual

                                                               Incurred     Estimated
                                               2007    2008     to Date       Total

    Risk and Insurance Brokerage Services      $  41   $ 234   $     275   $       503
    Consulting                                     5      17          22            47

    Total restructuring and related expenses   $  46   $ 251   $     297   $       550


Stock Repurchase Program

In November 2005, our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $1 billion of Aon's common stock. In November 2006, the Board increased that amount to $2 billion. In December 2007, the Board increased the authorization amount to $4.6 billion. We may repurchase shares using available capital through the open market or in privately negotiated transactions from time to time, based on prevailing market conditions. Any repurchased shares will be available for employee stock plans and for other corporate purposes. During second quarter 2008, we increased the volume of shares repurchased, as we began to use the proceeds received from the sales of CICA and Sterling. Share repurchases were halted in August in anticipation of the Benfield merger. Our remaining authorized amount for stock repurchases under the program is $854 million. Because of the current volatility in both the financial markets and the broader economy, the timing for completion of the program is uncertain.

In 2008, we repurchased 42.6 million shares at a cost of $1.9 billion. Since the program began, we have repurchased 90.8 million shares at a cost of $3.7 billion. Of the shares repurchased since the program's inception, we have reissued approximately 23.3 million shares for stock options, stock awards, and other benefit plans.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES

Aon's consolidated financial statements have been prepared according to U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"). To prepare these financial statements, we made estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect:

º •
º what we report as our assets and liabilities,

º •
º what we disclose as contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, and

º •
º the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the periods presented.

In accordance with our policies, we:

º •
º regularly evaluate our estimates, assumptions and judgments, including those concerning restructuring, pensions, contingencies, intangible assets, share-based payments, income taxes and policy liabilities.

º •
º base our estimates, assumptions, and judgments on our historical experience and on factors we believe reasonable under the circumstances.

The results involve judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities not readily apparent from other sources. If our assumptions or conditions change, the actual results we report may differ from these estimates.

We believe the following critical accounting policies affect the more significant estimates, assumptions, and judgments we used to prepare these consolidated financial statements.

Restructuring

Restructuring costs that meet certain criteria are included in the purchase price allocation when related to an acquisition, or are expensed as incurred in accordance with FASB Statement No. 112, Employers Accounting for Postemployment Benefits and FASB Statement No. 146, Accounting for Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. Statement No. 146 applies to one-time workforce reduction benefits and requires companies to use Statement No. 112 when severance is paid under an ongoing severance policy. Lease consolidation costs, asset impairments and other costs associated with restructuring are accounted for under Statement No. 146 and FASB Statement No. 144, Accounting for the Impairment or Disposal of Long-Lived Assets.


Workforce reduction costs

We account for workforce reduction costs that result from an ongoing severance plan under Statement No. 112. Such instances occur when (1) we have an established severance policy, (2) statutory requirements dictate the severance amounts, or (3) we have an established pattern of paying by a specific formula.

We estimate our one-time workforce reduction costs related to exit and disposal activities not resulting from an ongoing severance plan based on the benefits available to the employees being terminated. We recognize these costs when we:

º •
º identify the specific classification (or functions) and locations of the employees being terminated,

º •
º notify the employees who might be included in the termination, and

º •
º expect to terminate employees within the legally required notification period.

When employees are receiving incentives to stay beyond the legally required notification period, we record the cost of their severance over the remaining service period.

Lease consolidation costs

Where we have provided notice of cancellation pursuant to a lease agreement or abandoned space and have no intention of reoccupying it, we recognize a loss. The loss reflects our best estimate of the net present value of the future cash flows associated with the lease at the date we vacate the property or sign a sublease arrangement. To determine the loss, we estimate sublease income based on current market quotes for similar properties. When we finalize definitive agreements with the sublessee, we adjust our sublease losses for actual outcomes.

Fair value concepts of severance arrangements and sublease losses

Accounting guidance requires that our exit and disposal accruals reflect the fair value of the liability. Where material, we discount the lease loss calculations to arrive at their net present value.

. . .

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